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UFC Fight Night Betting Preview: Benoit-Saint Denis vs. Thiago Moises

September 2, 2023

UFC Fight Night - Benoit-Saint Denis vs. Thiago Moises Betting Pick & Prediction

The upcoming UFC Fight Night has exciting matchups that will be good betting opportunities. One of those battles that you should look into further on the main card is a lightweight showdown between Benoit-Saint Denis and Thiago Moises.

  • Location: Accor Arena, Paris

  • Date: Saturday, September 2, 2023

  • Main Card: 3:00 PM ET

  • Prelims: 12:00 PM ET

  • Coverage: ESPN+

Benoit Saint-Denis Betting Preview

Saint-Denis is attempting to extend his current three-fight winning streak coming into this showdown. His previous success was a first round submission face crank over Ismael Bonfim back in July of this year.

He has put together 11 wins so far in his career, with two coming from knockout and nine from submission. Six of his wins have been first round finishes and his only loss has come by decision.

“God of War” strikes with an accuracy of 50 percent and takes down his opponents with a 30 percent accuracy. His significant strike ratio is negative, as he delivers 4.11 and absorbs 6.14.

His defense is solid, as he defends against significant strikes at 42 percent and stops takedowns with a defense of 86 percent. He also averages 3.80 takedowns and 1.90 submissions per 15 minutes of fighting time.

Thiago Moises Betting Preview

Moises has gone 2-2 in his last four fights, but has won his last two. His most recent successful bout was a second round face crank submission against Melquizael Costa back in January of this year.

He has 17 wins in his career, which have been three knockouts, eight submissions, and six decisions. Four of his wins have been first round finishes, but four of his six losses have come by decisions.

He has been landing strikes with an accuracy at 39 percent and landing takedowns with an accuracy of 41 percent. His significant strike ratio is a little off, as he lands 2.47 and takes on 3.90.

Moises has been defending at a solid rate, with a defense of 57 percent against significant strikes and 61 percent against takedowns. He is solid on the ground, with 1.53 takedowns and 1.28 submissions per 15 minutes of action.

Game Odds, Series Trends and Free Pick

According to MyBookie's latest odds, Benoit Saint Denis has a slight advantage in this matchup. Both fighters have compelling resumes that make this a close battle.

  • Thiago Moises: +114

  • Benoit Saint-Denis: -135

This battle will be close, as indicated by their averages each fight. While both of their striking averages are negative, Saint-Denis is slightly more aggressive and it could work in his favor against a striker that is not as strong each minute. Look for the decision victory by Saint-Denis, who will likely drag this out on the ground.

Final Pick: Take Benoit Saint-Denis to Win at -135

Written By: David White