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UFC Fight Night Betting Preview: Bill Algeo vs. Alexander Hernandez

October 7, 2023

Bill Algeo and Alexander Hernandez square off soon in the next UFC Fight Night. These two featherweights will open for the main card, which is perfect for setting the tone for great betting opportunities.

  • Location: UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada

  • Date: Saturday, October 07, 2023

  • Main Card: 7:00 PM ET (ESPN+)

  • Prelims: 4:00 PM ET (ESPN+)

Bill Algeo Betting Preview

Algeo returns to the octagon after a second round rear naked choke submission win against T.J. Brown at UFC on ESPN 44 in April of this year. This put him back on track after a split decision defeat to Andre Fiki in the fight before, and improved his UFC record to 4-3.

In his illustrious career, he has notched an impressive 17 wins under his belt, with four of those being decisive knockouts, seven hard-fought submissions, and six well-earned decision victories. It is worth noting that he secured two of those wins with lightning-fast first-round victories, while five of his seven losses came via decision.

"Senor Perfecto" showcases a striking accuracy of 54 percent, although his takedown success rate, while commendable, sits at a slightly lower 43 percent. In the realm of offense, he excels with an average of 5.93 significant strikes landed per minute, and he absorbs a respectable 4.32, showcasing a commendable margin.

On the defensive front, he skillfully wards off 47 percent of significant strikes aimed at him and maintains a 55 percent takedown defense rate. In addition, he averages 0.87 takedowns and 0.14 submissions per 15 minutes of intense action.

Alexander Hernandez Betting Preview

Hernandez has also been streaky in the UFC, going 6-5 in the promotion. He is coming off of a unanimous decision win against Jim Miller back at UFC Fight Night 219 in February of this year.

He has put together 14 wins composed of six knockouts, two submissions, and six decisions. He has earned seven first round finishes and half of his six defeats have come by knockout.

The “Great Ape” strikes with an accuracy of 41 percent and lands takedowns at 32 percent of his attempts. He delivers 4.57 significant strikes a minute while taking on 4.53. This is solid, but not much room for error.

He defends against significant strikes and takedowns at 57 and 63 percent, respectively. He also averages 1.38 takedowns and 0.15 submissions per 15 minutes of action.

Odds, Series Trends and Free Pick

MyBookie unveils its most current odds, highlighting the slim possibility of Bill Algeo emerging victorious in this matchup. Both fighters are evenly matched, making it a contest that could easily sway in either direction.

  • Alexander Hernandez: +120

  • Bill Algeo: -142

While both have been sloppy in the UFC, Algeo appears slightly more appealing on paper. Look for the decision win.

Spooky Express Pick: Take Bill Algeo to Win at -142