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UFC Fight Night Betting Preview: Ciryl Gane vs. Serghei Spivac

September 2, 2023

The main event at the next UFC Fight Night has an explosive heavyweight showdown that you must check out. This will be a war between second-ranked Ciryl Gane and seventh-ranked Serghei Spivac, filled with plenty of betting opportunities.

  • Location: Accor Arena, Paris

  • Date: Saturday, September 2, 2023

  • Main Card: 3:00 PM ET

  • Prelims: 12:00 PM ET

  • Coverage: ESPN+

Ciryl Gane Betting Preview

Gane has gone 1-2 in his last three battles against some of the best fighters in the division. These were defeats against current champ Jon Jones and another notable face of the division, Francis Ngannou.

He boasts an impressive record of 11 victories to his name, showcasing his versatile skills with five decisive knockout wins, three victories by submission, and three by decision. Notably, three of these 11 victories concluded in the first round, while he faced just one loss via submission and another through a decision.

“Bon Gamin” exhibits great precision in striking, boasting a 60 percent accuracy rate. His takedown success rate stands at 21 percent, which could be much better. When it comes to significant strikes, he delivers an impressive 5.08 per minute while absorbing just 2.25 from his opponents.

Defensively, he shines as well, deflecting 63 percent of significant strikes directed at him but only thwarting 45 percent of takedown attempts. Moreover, he is not that active on the ground, averaging 0.61 takedowns and 0.51 submission attempts per 15 minutes of action.

Serghei Spivac Betting Preview

Spivac is on a remarkable winning streak, having triumphed in his last three fights. His recent victory in was a first-round TKO against Derrick Lewis in February at UFC Fight Night 218 this year.

When you examine his 16 wins, you will find that seven were achieved by knockout, seven by submission, and two by decision. Impressively, 10 of these wins concluded in the first round, and he suffered only two of his three losses by knockout.

"The Polar Bear" typically maintains a striking accuracy of around 51 percent and boasts a 66 percent success rate in takedowns. He delivers an average of 3.79 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.84, showcasing a favorable ratio.

Defensively, he stands strong against significant strikes, with a 56 percent defense rate, and he thwarts takedowns with a remarkable 70 percent success rate. Furthermore, he actively pursues takedowns at a rate of 5.05 per 15 minutes of action and has secured 0.56 submissions on average in the same time frame.

Odds, Series Trends and Free Pick

Looking at MyBookie’s latest offering, Ciryl Gane appears to be a slight edge in this showdown. As both fighters are compelling matchups on paper, this should create an exciting battle.

  • Serghei Spivac: +140

  • Ciryl Gane: -166

This fight will be close, as Gane has had issues against takedowns. However, he should have enough striking to wear down Spivac and get the decision.

Final Pick: Take Ciryl Gane to Win at -166

Written By: David White