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UFC Fight Night Betting Preview: Daniel Marcos vs. Victor Hugo

November 4, 2023


The next UFC Fight Night in São Paulo, Brazil offers great wagering options to consider, with one battle on the horizon worth tuning into in the preliminary card. This is a bantamweight battle between Daniel Marcos (15-0-0) and Victor Hugo (24-4-0), with Marcos moderately favored at -250 to win.


  • Location: Ibirapuera Arena in São Paulo, Brazil

  • Date: Saturday, November 4, 2023

  • Main Card: 9:00 PM ET (ESPN+)

  • Prelims: 6:00 PM ET (ESPN+)

Daniel Marcos Betting Preview

Marcos is currently undefeated through 15 fights and is aiming to make it 16 in a row. His previous win was a split decision over Davey Grant in July of last year at the UFC Fight Night 224.

He has put together 15 wins that consist of eight knockouts and seven decisions. Three of his eight knockouts have turned into first round finishes.

He maintains an impressive striking accuracy of 47 percent, along with a 50 percent takedown accuracy. He consistently delivers 4.88 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.70, leading to a favorable significant strike ratio.

On the defensive side, he excels with a 70 percent success rate in defending significant strikes and an impressive 89 percent success rate in thwarting takedowns. His ground game is relatively quiet, with an average of 0.40 takedowns per 15 minutes of fight time.

Victor Hugo Betting Preview

Hugo has won his last 13 bouts, with his most recent win at Dana White’s Contender Series back last month. This was a second round kneebar submission over Eduardo Torres Cant.

He has a balanced resume of 24 wins composed of seven knockouts, 10 submissions, and seven decisions. In 12 of his wins, they have resulted in first round finishes. Out of his four defeats, half of them have come by knockout.

This will be the first UFC bout for “Striker”, besides the DWCS battle. In that fight, he struck with an accuracy of 35 percent and landed takedowns 50 percent of the time. He did not engage in a ton of strikes, as he landed 1.24 significant strikes a minute and took on 1.10.

He defended well against significant strikes at 65 percent and against takedowns at 67 percent. Of course, he was able to land a takedown and keep his opponent on the ground long enough for a submission win.

Odds, Series Trends and Free Pick

MyBookie offers Daniel Marcos as a moderate favorite to win in this battle. While these are appealing odds, you could look to add Marcos to a parlay with other battles on the night to boost his potential payout.


  • Victor Hugo: +175

  • Daniel Marcos: -250

Marcos will likely keep this battle standing and offer plenty of strikes. This could arguably go either way, but look for Marcos to pull through.

Spooky Express Pick: Take Daniel Marcos to Win at -250 in a parlay