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UFC Fight Night Betting Preview: Edgar Chairez vs. Daniel Lacerda

October 14, 2023

In the upcoming UFC Fights Night, plenty of appealing matchups are on display in the main card for betting opportunities. One fight to look into for the Las Vegas, Nevada showdown is a rematch catchweight bout between Edgar Chairez and Daniel Lacerda. 

  • Location: UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada

  • Date: Saturday, October 14, 2023

  • Main Card: 7:00 PM ET (ESPN+)

  • Prelims: 4:00 PM ET (ESPN+)

Edgar Chairez Betting Preview

Chairez recently had a no-contest result against Lacerda in their last meeting in September. He had him in a standing guillotine choke, but the referee stopped the fight too early, thus eventually leading to an overturned win. 

His fighting record boasts 10 wins, comprising four victories by knockout and six via submission. Impressively, seven of these successes occurred in the initial round. Furthermore, three of his five losses have been determined by decision.

"Puro Chicali" maintains a 48 percent striking accuracy but has not yet secured any takedowns. In terms of significant strikes, he has a slight deficit, averaging 2.60 per minute while absorbing 4.26. This could pose an issue if he does not defend well.

On the defensive side, he demonstrates a reasonable defense against significant strikes at 41 percent and an even more impressive defense against takedowns at 45 percent. However, he has yet to achieve any takedowns or submissions in 15 minutes of action in the UFC.

Daniel Lacerda Betting Preview

Lacerda will need a miracle to get back on track. He has yet to win in the UFC (0-4) and nearly lost the last matchup against Chairez. While the odds are against him, he still has a chance.

His remarkable track record encompasses 11 victories, showcasing five knockouts and six submissions. Notably, he achieved first-round finishes in 10 of these wins. Additionally, he has endured four knockout losses, indicating a weak chin.

"Miojo" demonstrates a striking accuracy of 47 percent and successfully executes takedowns 43 percent of the time. His significant strike ratio raises concerns in the four fights he lost, as he delivers 4.16 strikes per minute and absorbs 8.70.

On the defensive side, he manages to evade only 35 percent of significant strikes, but has yet to fend off any takedown attempts. Across 15 minutes of fight time, he maintains an average of 1.91 takedowns.

Odds, Series Trends and Free Pick

MyBookie's latest odds indicate that Edgar Chairez enjoys a modest edge in the potential for victory. Consider including Chairez in a parlay with other matches to increase his potential payout if he prevails in this competition.

  • Daniel Lacerda: +205

  • Edgar Chairez: -305

Lacerda is not great at defending and has too many chances to get his first UFC win. Look for Chairez to pull through potentially by submission.

Spooky Express Pick: Edgar Chairez to Win at -305