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UFC Fight Night Betting Preview: Elizeu Zelseki vs. Rinat Fakhretdinov

November 4, 2023

Approaching soon for the next UFC Fight Night in São Paulo, Brazil, there are excellent fights coming your way. One fight to check out is a welterweight showdown between Elizeu Zaleski (24-7-0) and Rinat 15th-ranked Fakhretdinov (21-1-0), with Fakhretdinov favored at -360 to win.

  • Location: Ibirapuera Arena in São Paulo, Brazil

  • Date: Saturday, November 4, 2023

  • Main Card: 9:00 PM ET (ESPN+)

  • Prelims: 6:00 PM ET (ESPN+)

Elizeu Zaleski Betting Preview

Zaleski is looking to extend his current two-fight win streak with another quality win here. His previous win was a split decision over Abubakar Nurmagomedov at UFC on ESPN 46 in June earlier this year.

He has put up 24 wins composed of 14 knockouts, three submissions, and seven decisions. 10 wins so far have resulted in first round finishes, while four of his seven defeats have come by decision.

“Capoeira” strikes with an accuracy at 42 percent, but lags behind with takedown accuracy at 14 percent. He has a good significant strike ratio, as he lands 4.48 significant strikes per minute and takes on 3.10. This will likely be the difference in this battle.

Zaleski defends well against significant strikes at a rate of 58 percent and against takedowns at 66 percent. He has minimal action on the ground, with 0.47 takedowns and 0.37 submissions per 15 minutes of fight time.

Rinat Fakhretdinov Betting Preview

Fakhretdinov has won his last 20 fights, with his last and only defeat coming back in 2013. His most recent win was a first round guillotine submission over Kevin Lee back in July earlier this year at UFC on ESPN 48.

His resume is strong with 21 wins, which consist of 11 knockouts, six submissions, and four decisions. Six of his 21 victories have ended in the opening round of the fight. He also has one loss by decision.

“Gladiator” has a high striking accuracy at 68 percent and does well in landing his takedowns at 63 percent. His significant strike ratio is rather appealing since he delivers 3.20 significant strikes each minute and only absorbs 0.78. This is a huge factor to his success.

He defends rather well against significant strikes at 58 percent and even better against takedowns at 100 percent. He is also aggressive on the ground with 5.82 takedowns and 0.49 submissions per 15 minutes of fight time.

Odds, Series Trends and Free Pick

MyBookie’s odds currently show that Rinat Fakhretdinov is a moderate favorite to win here.

  • Elizeu Zaleski: +285

  • Rinat Fakhretdinov: -360

If you are wanting to wager on Fakhretdinov’s chance at victory, you could include him in a parlay with other fights on the night to potentially increase his payout. He should end this fight early, so consider that option for a prop bet on Saturday as well.

Spooky Express Pick: Rinat Fakhretdinov to Win in a Parlay