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UFC Fight Night Betting Preview: Garrett Armfield vs. Toshiomi Kazama

August 26, 2023

The impending UFC Fight Night's preliminary card showcases intriguing betting opportunities that demand your focus. Among the spotlighted matchups is the bantamweight clash starring Toshiomi Kazama and Garrett Armfield.

  • Location: Singapore Indoor Stadium in Kallang, Singapore

  • Date: Saturday, August 26, 2023

  • Main Card: 7:00 AM CDT

  • Prelims: 4:00 AM CDT

  • Coverage: ESPN and ESPN+

Toshiomi Kazama Betting Preview

Kazama has lost his last two of three fights and needs to get back on track. His most recent battle was a first round knockout in UFC Fight Night 218 against Rinya Nakamura back in February of this year.

He boasts a remarkable record of 10 triumphs, encompassing three knockout victories, five wins by way of submission, and two hard-fought decisions. Impressively, six of those 10 victories culminated in first-round finishes, while two of his three losses were due to devastating knockouts.

“Silent Finisher” has a striking accuracy at 58 percent and a takedown accuracy at 15 percent. He lands 1.87 significant strikes each minute and takes on 1.93, offering a slightly negative ratio with a low output of strikes.

He boasts a 52 percent success rate in countering significant strikes and an impressive 67 percent success rate in thwarting takedowns. However, he lacks any statistical averages for takedowns or submissions per 15 minutes of fight time.

Garrett Armfield Betting Preview

Armfield is coming off of a second round arm triangle choke defeat against David Onama back in July of last year at the UFC on ESPN 39. This snapped his previous three-fight winning streak.

He has a total of eight wins consisting of five knockouts, two submissions, and one decision. Seven of his eight wins have resulted in first round finishes and two of his three defeats have been submissions.

He has a low striking accuracy of 29 percent but nothing yet for takedown accuracy. His significant strike ratio is a bit negative, as he lands 2.56 strikes each minute and absorbs on 3.53.

His solid strike defense stands at 60 percent, coupled with a decent takedown defense rate of 45 percent. However, he lacks the average statistics for takedowns or submissions per 15 minutes of action.

Game Odds, Series Trends and Free Pick

The following moneyline from MyBookie has this fight slightly favoring Garrett Armfield. Both fighters make a great case to win, especially with how close their resumes line up.

  • Toshiomi Kazama: +133

  • Garrett Armfield: -153

Neither fighter stands out as a threat, as they both have low striking abilities. However, Armfield averages a little bit more each minute and he does not have to worry about a mirage of strikes coming from Kazama in return. This will be close, but expect Armfield for come away with the win.

Final Pick: Take Garret Armfield to Win at -153

Written By: Gavin Richardson