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UFC Fight Night Betting Preview: Jake Colliers vs. Mohammed Usman

September 23, 2023


The upcoming UFC Fight Night features exciting preliminary card fights that present attractive betting opportunities. One standout match is the heavyweight clash between Jake Collier and Mohammed Usman, drawing attention from fans and bettors alike.


  • Location: UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada

  • Date: Saturday, September 23, 2023

  • Main Card: 7:00 PM ET (ESPN+)

  • Prelims: 4:00 PM ET (ESPN+)

Jake Collier Betting Preview

Collier has not seen a win in his last three battles, making this one more urgent than the last. His previous defeat was a unanimous decision to Martin Buday at UFC on ESPN 45 in April earlier this year.

He has earned 13 wins total in his career, which include a balanced resume of five knockouts, four submissions, and four decisions. Seven of his 13 wins have ended in the first round. Out of nine defeats, he is tied at four each by knockout and decision.

His striking in the UFC has been solid at 44 percent and has landed takedowns with an accuracy of 33 percent. He is aggressive with his significant strikes, as he lands 5.81 each minute and absorbs 5.01. This is slightly positive, but he needs to do better if he wants to win.

He defends himself decently 50 percent of the time against significant strikes and at 68 percent against takedowns. He also averages 0.79 takedowns and 0.45 submissions each 15 minutes of fight time.

Mohammed Usman Betting Preview

Usman is currently looking for his third consecutive victory and has a good chance here. His recent win was a unanimous decision over Junior Tafa back in April earlier this year at UFC Fight Night 222.

His track record boasts nine wins, a diverse mix of four knockouts, two submissions, and three decisions. Remarkably, he secured victory in the opening round in five out of these nine wins, yet suffered one loss each via submission and decision.

In the realm of striking, his precision stands at 28 percent, while his takedown attempts are less impressive at 15 percent. On average, he lands 0.92 significant strikes per minute while absorbing a mere 2.62, hinting at a slightly negative striking balance.

Looking at his defense, he skillfully evades significant strikes with a success rate of 51 percent, though his takedown defense statistics are absent from two of his UFC bouts. Additionally, he has successfully executed 1.46 takedowns per 15 minutes of fight time.

Odds, Series Trends and Free Pick

MyBookie's most recent odds suggest that Mohammed Usman currently enjoys a slight advantage as the favored contender for triumph in this matchup. Given the evenly-matched skills of both fighters, this assures an enthralling and tightly-fought showdown.


  • Jake Collier: +116

  • Mohammed Usman: -136

Usman appears more appealing with his recent wins and from Collier’s struggles. Look for Usman tk drag this one out.

Spooky Express Pick: Take Mohammed Usman to Win at -136