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UFC Fight Night Betting Preview: Jamie Mullarkey vs. Nasrat Haqparast

December 9, 2023


An explosive lightweight showdown is coming up soon  between Jamie Mullarkey and Nasrat Haqparast at UFC Fight Night 233 on Saturday, December 9 in Las Vegas. The market shows Haqparast as a moderate moneyline favorite with odds at -220.

Jamie Mullarkey Betting Preview

Mullarkey has a recent win under his belt, which was a unanimous decision over John Makdessi back at UFC 293 in September of this year. This win got him back on track after a second round TKO over Muhammadjon Naimov back in June.  Out of 17 wins, he has earned 10 knockouts, three submissions, and four decisions. He has seven of these wins ending in the first round. In six losses, four have been by knockout.

He strikes with an accuracy at 47 percent and lands his takedowns about 34 percent of the time. He lands 4.46 significant strikes per minute and absorbs 4.41, which shows no room for error here.

Mullarkey defends against significant strikes at 55 percent and against takedowns at a more appealing rate of 77 percent of the time. He also lands 2.46 takedowns and 0.15 submissions per 15 minutes.

Nasrat Haqparast Betting Preview

Haqparast has gone 2-2 in his last four fights, but is currently on a two-tight win streak. He was able to defeat Landon Quinones by unanimous decision at UFC 293 in his last fight.

He has developed 15 wins from his fights, consisting of nine knockouts and six decisions. Six of these wins have ended in the opening round and three of his five defeats have come by decision.

He has a striking accuracy at 45 percent, but does not have a strong takedown accuracy at 20 percent. He delivers 5.73 significant strikes each minute and absorbs 5.26, for an aggressive ratio without much breathing room.

Haqparast defends against significant strikes and takedowns at a rate of 64 and 79 percent, respectively. He also adds in 0.32 takedowns every 15 minutes, but shows no threat to being on the ground.

Odds, Series Trends and Free Pick

MyBookie offers the moneyline odds for this fight, with Nasrat Haqparast as a moderate favorite to win. Bettors might want to consider adding him to a parlay with other battles on the night or consider a prop bet that would potentially pay out more.


  • Jamie Mullarkey: +160

  • Nasrat Haqparast: -220

This battle will likely be a striking war, in which Haqparast is potentially the winner of that scenario. Mullarkey could even things out if he can land takedowns. Overall, look for Haqparast to end this by TKO.

Spooky Express Pick: Nasrat Haqparast in Parlay or Prop