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UFC Fight Night Betting Preview: Jared Gooden vs. Wellington Turman

December 1, 2023


Explore a betting opportunity in the upcoming welterweight clash between Wellington Turman and Jared Gooden during the UFC on ESPN 52 prelims. Turman, moderately favored with a -200 moneyline, adds excitement to the potential wager.

Wellington Turman Betting Preview

Turman is needing to get back on track after losing his second fight in a row. His most recent defeat was a unanimous decision against Randy Brown back at UFC on ABC 5 in June of this year.

He has established 18 balanced wins that are composed of four knockouts, eight submissions, and six decisions, as well as eight first round finishes. Looking at his seven losses, five have been by decision.

“The Prodigy” does a good job at landing 50 percent of his strikes. However, he lands 19 percent of his takedowns and is not a huge threat. He also has a slightly negative significant strike ratio, with 3.04 significant strikes landed and 3.87 absorbed.

Turman also has slightly lower defenses, with a 46 percent rate against significant strikes and 45 percent against takedowns. He also averages 1.49 takedowns and 0.83 submissions per 15 minutes of fight time.

Jared Gooden Betting Preview

Gooden is 2-2 over his last four fights and is aiming to find success here. His recent encounter was a unanimous decision defeat to Carlston Harris in March of this year at UFC Fight Night 221.

In 22 of his career wins, 11 have been by knockout, six by submission, and five by decision. Only four of his 22 wins have ended in the first round, so there is a slight opportunity for an early finish. Looking at his nine losses, seven have resulted in a decision.

“Nite Train” has been able to strike with an accuracy at 47 percent and land all of his takedown attempts. His significant strike ratio is concerning, as he lands 4.73 each minute of action and takes on 6.76. This will be the biggest impact on the fight.

Gooden has solid defenses with a 48 percent against significant strikes, but a more appealing takedown defense at 68 percent. He also throws in 0.49 submissions per 15 minutes of fight time.

Odds, Series Trends and Free Pick

MyBookie offers the betting odds in this UFC matchup, showing Wellington Turman as a moderate favorite to win. If considering a wager in him, add him to a parlay with other fights on the night or choose a prop bet to boost his potential payout.


  • Jared Gooden: +150

  • Wellington Turman: -200

Gooden’s significant strike ratio is what will be the difference. Look for Turman to pick him apart and win by decision.

Spooky Express Pick: Wellington Turman