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UFC Fight Night Betting Preview: Jennifer Maia vs. Viviane Araujo

October 14, 2023

At the upcoming UFC Fight Night set to take place in Las Vegas, Nevada, the main card will present an exciting array of matches that promise intriguing opportunities for betting. Particularly, all eyes are on the co-main event, which highlights a women's flyweight showdown between ninth-ranked Jennifer Maia and 11th-ranked Viviane Araujo.

  • Location: UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada

  • Date: Saturday, October 14, 2023

  • Main Card: 7:00 PM ET (ESPN+)

  • Prelims: 4:00 PM ET (ESPN+)

Jennifer Maia Betting Preview

Maia has been victorious in her last two battles, which have both been unanimous decisions. Her last one was against Casey O’Neill at UFC 286 in March of this year.

She boasts a record of 21 victories alongside nine losses. Among her wins, there are four knockouts, five submissions, and 12 decisions, with six of those victories ending in the initial round. Notably, seven of her nine losses resulted from decisions.

"The Spider Monkey" demonstrates some precision with a 39 percent striking accuracy while landing takedowns at a fairly low rate of 21 percent. Her significant strike ratio leans slightly negative, as she delivers 4.50 and absorbs 4.78, which could influence the outcome.

Her defense is indeed formidable, warding off significant strikes with a 56 percent success rate and fending off takedowns at 57 percent. Over a span of 15 minutes in action, she averages 0.27 takedowns and 0.09 submissions.

Viviane Araujo Betting Preview

Araujo has lost her last three out of four battles and is currently on a two-fight skid. Her most recent defeat was a unanimous decision against Amanda Ribas at UFC 285 in March of this year.

She possesses a versatile offensive arsenal through her 11 wins, with three achieved through knockouts, four through submissions, and four by decisions. On top of that, four of those 11 victories were concluded within the first round. In addition, four out of her five losses were decisions.

Under the alias "Vivi," she exhibits a 47 percent accuracy in her striking, and her takedown success rate stands at 49 percent. Her significant strike ratio slightly leans towards the negative, as she delivers an average of 4.63 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 5.45. Should her defensive skills falter, it could lead to another loss.

Her defense against significant strikes is not bad, with a 56 percent success rate, and she excels at defending takedowns, boasting an impressive 83 percent defense rate. Furthermore, she has a track record of landing 1.81 takedowns and attempting 0.64 submissions for every 15 minutes of action.

Odds, Series Trends and Free Pick

MyBookie provides odds for the upcoming match, where Viviane Araujo is considered a slight favorite to emerge victorious. Both competitors have appealing resumes that could point to another win here.

  • Jennifer Maia: +130

  • Viviane Araujo: -155

Maia has suffered defeats likely due to her defense. While they both have their issues in striking, Araujo has slightly better defenses and can pull this out.

Spooky Express Pick: Take Viviane Araujo to Win at -155