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UFC Fight Night Betting Preview: Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs. Diana Belbita

October 7, 2023


The prelims in the upcoming UFC Fight Night offer incredible betting options to consider. One of those matchups is a women’s strawweight bout between 15th ranked Karolina Kowalkiewicz and Diana Belbita.


  • Location: UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada

  • Date: Saturday, October 07, 2023

  • Main Card: 7:00 PM ET (ESPN+)

  • Prelims: 4:00 PM ET (ESPN+)

Karolina Kowalkiewicz Betting Preview

Kowalkiewicz finally seems on a good track after losing five straight fights in the UFC a while back. Currently on a three-fight win streak, her last encounter was a unanimous decision over Vanessa Demopoulos back at UFC Fight Night 223 in May earlier this year.

She has compiled 15 wins so far in her career, resulting in one knockout, three submissions, and 11 decisions. Three of her triumphs have been first round finishes and four of her seven defeats have been by decision.

Her striking accuracy comes in at 42 percent, while her takedowns are at 31 percent. She delivers 5.65 significant strikes each minute and absorbs 5.47. This is aggressive, but leaves little room for error.

Kowalkiewicz has routinely defended against significant strikes at 59 percent and against takedowns at 77 percent. She also throws in 0.31 takedowns and 0.23 submissions every 15 minutes of action.

Diana Belbita Betting Preview

Belbita is coming off of a unanimous decision win against Maria Oliveira back at UFC 289 in June earlier this year. This got her back on the winning side after a previous defeat to Gloria de Paula at UFC Fight Night 201 in February of last year.

She has a balanced resume of 15 wins, which are of six knockouts, four submissions, and five decisions. Five of her 15 victories have resulted in first round successes and four of her seven losses have come by submission.

The “Warrior Princess” strikes with an accuracy of 44 percent and delivers takedowns 50 percent of the time. She has been able to lay out 6.59 significant strikes a minute while taking on 5.72. This is slightly more appealing than Kowalkiewicz, but she still needs to defend.

She has a modest defense against significant strikes and takedowns at 53 and 67 percent, respectively. She is not quite active on the ground, with 0.72 takedowns and per 15 minutes of fight time.

Odds, Series Trends and Free Pick

MyBookie introduces its latest odds, shedding light on the narrow chance of Karolina Kowalkiewicz securing a win in this bout. With both fighters being evenly matched, this contest remains highly unpredictable.


  • Diana Belbita: +140

  • Karolina Kowalkiewicz: -166

Both fighters stack up well, but Belbita is a solid threat to finish this early. We look for Belbita to potentially win early and get the slight upset.

Spooky Express Pick: Take Diana Belbita to Win at +140