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UFC Fight Night Betting Preview: Kevin Holland vs. Jack Della Maddalena

September 16, 2023

The co-main event for the next UFC Fight Night offers a great betting opportunity and explosive battle. This is a welterweight showdown between 13th ranked Kevin Holland and 14th ranked Jack Della Maddalena.

  • Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada

  • Date: Saturday, September 16, 2023

  • Main Card: 10:00 PM ET (ESPN+)

  • Prelims: 7:00 PM ET (ESPN+)

Kevin Holland Betting Preview

Holland has gone 2-2 out of his last four fights, but has won his last two. His most recent victory was a first round brabo choke submission against Michael Chiesa back at UFC 291 in July of this year.

With his recent wins, he added to now have 25 victories that have been composed of 14 knockouts, seven submissions, and four decisions. In addition, 12 of his 25 wins have ended within the first round and he has five out of nine losses coming from decisions.

“Trailblazer” showcased remarkable precision in the UFC, boasting a striking accuracy of 52 percent, coupled with a takedown success rate of 41 percent. Notably, he maintains an impressive significant strike ratio, delivering 4.11 strikes while absorbing just 2.96 per minute of action.

On the defensive front, he stands firm, deflecting 53 percent of significant strikes and thwarting 53 percent of takedown attempts. Additionally, he displays offensive prowess, averaging 0.83 takedowns and 0.55 submission attempts every 15 minutes of fight time.

Jack Della Maddalena Betting Preview

Maddalena has yet to lose in his five UFC bouts and has a 15-fight win streak on the line. His previous successful bout was a split decision against Bassil Hafez back in UFC on ESPN 49 in July earlier this year.

Analyzing his record of 15 victories, he has secured 11 via knockouts, two through submissions, and two by decisions. Impressively, eight of those 15 wins came within the first round, with just one loss each due to knockout and submission.

In terms of his fighting stats, he boasts a striking accuracy of 52 percent and a 20 percent success rate with takedowns. He delivers an average of 7.27 significant strikes per bout while absorbing 3.50. These numbers indicate an aggressive approach, which bodes well for his winning prospects.

Defensively, he effectively fends off significant strikes at a rate of 69 percent and takedowns at 81 percent. Furthermore, he is not afraid to take the fight to the ground, with an average of 0.36 takedowns and 0.40 submissions per 15 minutes of fighting.

Odds, Series Trends and Free Pick

MyBookie’s odds for this battle are coming down to a coin flip, as both fighters are evenly matched. However, Kevin Holland has the slightest edge according to the market’s perspective.

  • Josh Fremd: -102

  • Kevin Holland: -118

Both fighters are well stacked for this event, indicating a close battle. Look for Holland to potentially win by a knockout.

Spooky Express Pick: Take Kevin Holland to Win at -118