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UFC Fight Night Betting Preview: Miles Johns vs Daniel Arguetta

September 23, 2023

The next UFC Fight Night showcases great preliminary card contests, ripe with appealing prospects for sports betting enthusiasts. Among these, the final showdown in the prelims is a bantamweight battle between Miles Johns and Daniel Arguetta that should spark the main card.

  • Location: UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada

  • Date: Saturday, September 23, 2023

  • Main Card: 7:00 PM ET (ESPN+)

  • Prelims: 4:00 PM ET (ESPN+)

Miles Johns Betting Preview

Johns is coming off of a unanimous decision victory against Vince Morales back in November of last year at UFC Fight Night 215. This got him back on the right track after an arm triangle choke submission defeat in the fight prior to John Castaneda.

Throughout his career, he has accumulated a total of 13 victories, with four knockouts, two submissions, and seven decided by judges. Interestingly, he has yet to secure a first-round finish despite a track record of early fight endings. He has also faced one knockout loss and one submission defeat.

In the UFC, his striking game has proven to be solid, boasting a 49 percent accuracy rate, and he has managed to secure takedowns with a 19 percent success rate. Notably, he is solid with significant strikes, landing an average of 3.63 per minute while absorbing 2.85. Although this reflects a slightly positive ratio, there is room for improvement if he aims for consistent victories.

His defense skills are good, successfully defending against significant strikes 70 percent of the time and thwarting takedown attempts with an impressive 93 percent success rate. Additionally, he averages 0.86 takedowns per 15 minutes of fight time.

Daniel Arguetta Betting Preview

Arguetta is aiming to land another win after his recent battle. He is coming off of a no contest that was stopped early in his battle with Ronnie Lawrence at UFC on ESPN 47 back in June of this year.

His impressive record includes nine victories, featuring a diverse array of two knockouts, four submissions, and three decisions. What sets him apart is his ability to clinch wins in the first round in five out of those nine triumphs, with just one loss coming by way of decision.

"The Determined" exhibits remarkable precision in his striking, boasting a 53 percent accuracy rate. When it comes to takedowns, he successfully executes them 60 percent of the time. On average, he delivers 2.41 significant strikes per minute while only absorbing a minimal 1.45, highlighting his slightly favorable striking prowess.

Examining his defensive skills, he adeptly dodges significant strikes with a success rate of 53 percent and showcases a 50 percent defense against takedowns. Additionally, he averages 2.78 takedowns and 1.86 submissions per 15 minutes of action inside the octagon.

Odds, Series Trends and Free Pick

MyBookie's recent odds released shows that Daniel Arguetta is becoming a moderate favorite to win this battle. You may want to consider adding Arguetta to a parlay with other battles to get the best payout if he wins.

  • Miles Johns: +145

  • Daniel Arguetta: -175

They both have quality significant striking abilities. However, Arguetta should slightly outperform to claim the victory.

Spooky Express Pick: Take Daniel Arguetta to Win at -175