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UFC Fight Night Betting Preview: Philipe Lins vs. Ion Cutelaba

October 7, 2023

The upcoming UFC Fight Night promises an exhilarating preliminary card brimming with enticing betting prospects. One bout that stands out is the last one on the prelims and is a light heavyweight clash featuring Philipe Lins and Ion Cutelaba, providing a fantastic betting opportunity for fans.

  • Location: UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada

  • Date: Saturday, October 07, 2023

  • Main Card: 7:00 PM ET (ESPN+)

  • Prelims: 4:00 PM ET (ESPN+)

Philipe Lins Betting Preview

Lins has found success in his last three battles and is looking to add another. His previous win was a unanimous decision over Maxim Grishin back at UFC on ESPN 46 in June of this year.

His professional journey is highlighted by an impressive 17 victories, which include nine knockout triumphs, four submissions, and four decision victories. Notably, six of his wins culminate in first-round victories, while four of his five losses are attributed to knockouts.

Known as "Monstro," he boasts a remarkable 46 percent striking accuracy, although his takedown success rate stands at a slightly less robust 36 percent. On the offensive front, he excels with an average of 3.59 significant strikes landed per minute, and he absorbs a respectable 3.73, resulting in a minor deficit.

On the defensive side, he skillfully defends against 45 percent of significant strikes directed at him and maintains a 100 percent takedown defense rate. Furthermore, he averages 1.55 takedowns per 15 minutes of action.

Ion Cutelaba Betting Preview

Cutelaba was finally able to break his three-fight losing skid in all of 2022. His recent win was a first round TKO against Tanner Boser back in April of this year at UFC on ESPN 44.

His combat record boasts an impressive 17 victories, including 13 decisive knockouts, two hard-fought submissions, and two well-deserved decisions. Remarkably, 14 of these wins occurred swiftly in the first round, while he faced submission losses in four of his nine defeats.

Known as "The Hulk," his striking accuracy stands at 43 percent, coupled with a 59 percent takedown success rate. On average, he delivers 4.63 significant strikes per minute while absorbing only 3.29 in return, providing a considerable margin for error in his striking game.

Regarding his defensive skills, he exhibits a commendable 48 percent success rate in countering significant strikes and an impressive 77 percent success rate in thwarting takedowns. Additionally, he manages to execute an average of 4.75 takedowns for every 15 minutes of intense combat.

Odds, Series Trends and Free Pick

MyBookie showcases their latest odds, with Ion Cutelaba having a slight chance to win this battle. Both stack up well to potentially tip the fight in their favor.

  • Philipe Lins: +124

  • Ion Cutelaba: -148

Lins’ striking might be an issue here, as Cutelaba tends to be the aggressor. He has a slight edge if he can remain in control and not allow any takedowns.

Spooky Express Pick: Take Ion Cutelaba to Win at -148