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UFC Fight Night Betting Preview: Roman Kopylov vs. Josh Fremd

September 16, 2023


The next UFC Fight Night has plenty of great matchups in the prelims worth your attention for betting options. One battle to look out for is the middleweight showdown between 14th ranked Roman Kopylov and Josh Fremd.


  • Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada

  • Date: Saturday, September 16, 2023

  • Main Card: 10:00 PM ET (ESPN+)

  • Prelims: 7:00 PM ET (ESPN+)

Roman Kopylov Betting Preview

Kopylov has won his most recent three battles and looks to include another one here. His previous encounter was a second round head kick over Claudio Ribeiro at UFC 291 back in July of this year.

Looking at his 11 wins thus far, 10 have been knockouts and the other is by decision. He only has one knockout resulting in a first round triumph and he has one loss each by submission and decision.

He has been striking in the UFC with an accuracy at 53 percent and landing takedowns at 50 percent. His significant strike ratio is not the worst, but could use more distance, as he lands 4.66 and takes in 4.15 each minute of action.

Defensively, he does solid against significant strikes at 59 percent and 90 percent against takedowns. He also manages to throw in 0.59 takedowns per 15 minutes of fight time.

Josh Fremd Betting Preview

Fremd has gone 2-2 in his last four battles and is currently on a two-fight win streak. His previous success was a unanimous decision against Jamie Pickett back at UFC on ESPN 51 last month.

His resume is balanced with 11 wins coming from four knockouts, four submissions, and three decisions. Three of his 11 victories have resulted in first round wins and half of his four losses have come by decision.

His striking accuracy is at 48 percent and his takedowns are at 43 percent. He lands 2.72 significant strikes, but takes on 2.10. This is a fairly low output, so he will need to be more aggressive here.

He has subpar defenses against significant strikes and takedowns, with 51 and 32 percent respectively. He also spends some time on the ground with 1.03 takedowns and 1.72 submissions in each 15 minutes of fight time.

Odds, Series Trends and Free Pick

MyBookie has their most recent odds revealing that Roman Kopylov is becoming a heavy favorite to be victorious. If you are contemplating a bet on Kopylov, consider adding him to a parlay to boost his odds with other favorites on the night.


  • Josh Fremd: +300

  • Roman Kopylov: -400

Kopylov seems like he has a good advantage over Fremd, especially when it comes to striking and setting the pace of the battle. Look for him to finish this fight by knockout.

Spooky Express Pick: Take Roman Kopylov to Win by KO/TKO or DQ at -135