UFC Fight Night Betting Preview: Sodiq Yusuff vs. Edson Barboza

October 14, 2023

The upcoming UFC Fights Night offers a great betting opportunity in Las Vegas, Nevada. The main event showcases the talents of two featherweights, 11^th-ranked Sodiq Yusuff and 13^th-ranked Edson Barboza as they compete in this showdown.

Location: UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada

Date: Saturday, October 14, 2023

Main Card: 7:00 PM ET (ESPN+)

Prelims: 4:00 PM ET (ESPN+)

Sodiq Yusuff Betting Preview

Yusuff has found success in his last three fights heading into this matchup. His most recent win was a first round (30 seconds) guillotine choke submission against Don Shainis back at UFC Fight Night 211 in October of last year.

His fighting resume shows an impressive 13 wins that consist of six knockouts, one submission, and six decisions. So far, five of these 13 wins have ended within the first round. He also only has one loss each by knockout and decision.

“Super” has a striking accuracy at 49 percent, but is lacking in takedowns with an accuracy at 13 percent. His significant strike ratio is rather appealing, as he delivers 5.29 significant strikes each minute and takes on 3.65.

He has a modest defense against significant strikes at 57 percent and a little better against takedowns at 70 percent. He is not very active on the ground, but averages 0.18 takedowns and 0.55 submissions every 15 minutes of action.

Edson Barboza Betting Preview

Barboza has gone 1-2 over his last few battles and needs another win to keep his momentum up. His recent performance was a first round knockout against Billy Quarantillo back at UFC on ESPN 44 in April of this year.

His wins are appealing, as he has 23 of them spread across 14 knockouts, one submission, and eight decisions. Eight out of the 23 have resulted in first round finishes. Also, five of his 11 losses have come by decision.

He does a good job landing strikes and takedowns at 44 percent. This accuracy will be key in closing the gap for points and landing takedowns. His significant strike ratio is slightly lacking, as he delivers 4.00 per minute and takes on 4.12.

His defense is similar to Yusuff’s, as he defends against significant strikes and takedowns at 59 and 76 percent, respectively. Among 15 minutes of fight time, he is not quite active on the ground with 0.39 takedowns and 0.10 submissions.

Odds, Series Trends and Free Pick

MyBookie showcases their latest odds, which indicate that Sodiq Yusuff is a slight favorite to win. Consider adding him to a parlay with other fights to give his payout a boost if he wins this matchup.

Edson Barboza: +140

Sodiq Yusuff: -166

Barboza will likely not be able to defend consistently against Yusuff, who has a good significant strike ratio. Look for Yusuff to win by knockout.

Spooky Express Pick: Sodiq Yusuff -166

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