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MMA Betting Previews
UFC Fight Night Betting Preview: Waldo Cortes Acosta vs. Lukasz Brzeski
August 26, 2023
The impending UFC Fight Night's preliminary finale presents exciting betting opportunities as fighters aim to leave their mark. Among them, a heavyweight clash looms featuring Waldo Cortes Acosta and Lukasz Brzeski.
Location: Singapore Indoor Stadium in Kallang, Singapore
Date: Saturday, August 26, 2023
Main Card: 7:00 AM CDT
Prelims: 4:00 AM CDT
Coverage: ESPN and ESPN+
Waldo Cortes Acosta Betting Preview
Acosta just suffered his first career defeat after nine successful bouts prior. This was a unanimous decision against Marcos Rogerio de Lima back in April of this year.
He boasts an impressive career record of nine victories, comprising four knockouts, one submission, and four decisions. Among these triumphs, two stand out as first-round finishes.
Known as "Salsa Boy," he showcases an impressive 51 percent striking accuracy, though grappling accuracy presents a challenge. His striking game is commendable, landing 7.09 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.03, maintaining a favorable ratio.
However, concerns arise regarding his defensive skills. He has a track record of successfully defending against 53 percent of significant strikes and 60 percent of takedowns. It is worth noting that he lacks any average statistics for takedowns or submissions.
Lukasz Brzeski Betting Preview
Brzeski has lost two consecutive bouts and is needing to get back on track. His most recent defeat was a unanimous decision against Karl Williams back in March of this year.
He has eight victories to his name, including five knockouts, two submissions, and a single decision triumph. Among these achievements, he has secured three first-round finishes, and notably, only two of his three losses were via decision.
He wields a striking accuracy of 48 percent, coupled with a 50 percent takedown accuracy. Impressively, he lands an average of 5.11 strikes per minute while absorbing just 3.35 in return.
His significant strike defense impressively stands strong at 56 percent, although his takedown defense is at 43 percent. Over a 15-minute bout, he averages 0.68 takedowns and 0.68 submissions, showcasing his well-rounded skills.
Game Odds, Series Trends and Free Pick
The moneyline listed on MyBookie indicates that Waldo Cortes Acosta is currently seen as a solid frontrunner in this heavyweight clash. Considering him for a parlay with other fights tonight might be a strategic move to boost his chances further.
Lukasz Brzeski: +195
Waldo Cortes Acosta: -256
*odds are subject to changes
Brzeski has a few quality battles under his belt that have likely prepared him for this fight. However, this will arguably be the toughest battle of his career.
Acosta has an aggressive significant strike ratio that should work in his favor. With that in mind, look for him to win by knockout as he should be able to control the pace of the fight.
Final Pick: Take Waldo Cortes Acosta to Win at -256
Written By: Gavin Richardson
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