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MMA Betting Previews
UFC Fight Night: AJ Dobson vs. Tafon Nchukwi
August 12, 2023
The upcoming UFC Fight Night presents an enthralling main card that merits your attention for betting. Among the notable matchups is a middleweight clash between AJ Dobson and Tafon Nchukwi, where both fighters are anticipated to engage in a fierce and intense contest.
Location: UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada
Date: Saturday, August 12, 2023
Main Card: 6:00 PM CDT
Prelims: 3:00 PM CDT
Coverage: ESPN and ESPN+
AJ Dobson Betting Preview
Dobson has lost his last two battles and is aiming to break the cycle. His last defeat was a unanimous decision against Armen Petrosyan back in October last year.
His fighting resume shows that he has six wins that consists of three knockouts, two submissions, and one decision. Five of his six wins have resulted in a first round finish and both of his losses have come by decision.
He has a striking accuracy of 47 percent and a takedown accuracy of 80 percent. He lands 4.34 significant strikes a minute while taking on 6.00. This is slightly negative, which could impact the fight.
His defense against significant strikes is at 47 percent and a takedown defense at 65 percent. He also averages 1.75 takedowns and 0.44 submissions per 15 minutes of fight time.
Tafon Nchukwi Betting Preview
Nchukwi has lost his last three out of four battles, so this is essentially a do or die situation in the UFC. His most recent defeat was a first round TKO against Carlos Ulberg back in June of last year.
His fighting resume shows that he has six wins that consist of four knockouts and two decisions. Two of his six wins have resulted in a first round finish and two of his three losses have come by knockout.
“Da Don” has a striking accuracy of 52 percent and a takedown accuracy of 57 percent. He lands 6.05 significant strikes a minute while taking on 4.03. This ratio is aggressive and shows a good separation between the two averages.
His defense against significant strikes is at 55 percent and a takedown defense at 71 percent. He also averages 0.94 takedowns per 15 minutes of fight time.
Game Odds, Series Trends and Free Pick
The following moneyline from MyBookie shows that Tafon Nchukwi is a slight favorite to win this fight. As both fighters stack up well on paper, this should make for a great fight.
AJ Dobson: +120
Tafon Nchukwi: -142
*odds are subject to changes
Dobson has a good opportunity to drag this fight out if he can keep Nchukwi on the ground. However, Nchukwi is solid in that regard and will do what he can to keep the fight standing. Look for Nchukwi to win, potentially by knockout.
Final Pick: Take Tafon Nchukwi to Win at -142
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