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UFC Fight Night: Mike Breeden vs. Terrance McKinney

August 12, 2023



Anticipation is building for the upcoming UFC Fight Night, generating a buzz due to numerous betting prospects arising from captivating fighting duels. Among these, the prelims feature an enticing lightweight showdown between Mike Breeden and Terrance McKinney.


  • Location: UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada

  • Date: Saturday, August 12, 2023

  • Main Card: 6:00 PM CDT

  • Prelims: 3:00 PM CDT

  • Coverage: ESPN and ESPN+

Mike Breeden Betting Preview

Breeden is currently on a two-fight losing streak and needs to get back on track. His most recent loss was a unanimous decision against Natan Levy back in April of last year.

His fighting resume shows that he has 10 wins that consists of eight knockouts and two decisions. Five of his 10 wins have resulted in a first round finish and three of his five losses have come by decision.

“Money” has a striking accuracy of 42 percent and a takedown accuracy of 38 percent. He lands 5.43 significant strikes a minute while taking on 6.38. This is slightly on the negative side, which could affect the fight.

His defense against significant strikes is at 42 percent and a takedown defense at 59 percent. He also averages 1.44 takedowns per 15 minutes of fight time.

Terrance McKinney Betting Preview

McKinney has lost his most recent three out of four fights. His most recent defeat was a second round rear naked choke submission against Nazim Sadykhov back in July of this year.

His fighting resume shows that he has 13 wins that consist of five knockouts and eight submissions. 12 of his 13 wins have resulted in a first round finish and four of his six losses have come by knockout.

“T. Wrecks” has a striking accuracy of 48 percent and a takedown accuracy of 41 percent. He lands 3.17 significant strikes a minute while taking on 2.60. This ratio is solid, with a good separation between the two averages.

His defense against significant strikes is at 44 percent and a takedown defense at 83 percent. He also averages 3.74 takedowns and 1.07 submissions per 15 minutes of fight time.

Game Odds, Series Trends and Free Pick

The following moneyline from MyBookie shows that Terrance McKinney is moving towards being a heavy favorite to win this fight. Adding McKinney to a parlay might make sense if you choose to include other fights on the night.


  • Mike Breeden: +216

  • Terrance McKinney: -285

  • *odds are subject to changes

Looking at both fighters, the striking stands out the most. Breeden is aggressive in his strikes but typically takes on too many compared to McKinney, who has a positive ratio. Overall, McKinney looks like he could take this fight in any direction to get the job done.

Final Pick: Take Terrance McKinney to Win at -285