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UFC Fight Night: Vicente Luque vs. Rafael Dos Anjos

August 12, 2023


The next UFC Fight Night showcases two welterweight fighters looking to tear each other’s heads off. This betting opportunity that you should check out will be between 10th ranked Vicente Luque and ninth ranked Rafael Dos Anjos.


  • Location: UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada

  • Date: Saturday, August 12, 2023 at 6:00 PM CDT

  • Coverage: ESPN and ESPN+

Vicente Luque Betting Preview

Luque is currently on a two right skid and needs a victory soon in order to get back on track. His most recent battle was a third round knockout against Geoff Neal back in August of last year.

His fighting resume shows that he has 21 wins that consists of 11 knockouts, eight submissions, and two decisions. 13 of his 21 wins have resulted in a first round finish and he has six out of his nine losses coming by decision.

“The Silent Assassin” has a striking accuracy of 53 percent and a takedown accuracy of 50 percent. He lands 5.49 significant strikes a minute while taking on 5.51. This is a fairly aggressive ratio, but shows he is taking on a strike for every one he lands.

His defense against significant strikes is at 52 percent and a takedown defense at 62 percent. He also averages 0.51 takedowns and 0.76 submissions per 15 minutes of fight time.

Rafael Dos Anjos Betting Preview

Anjos is returning to the octagon after a second round neck crank submission against Bryan Barberena back in December of last year. This got him back on track after a fifth round knockout defeat to Rafael Fiziev in the fight prior.

His fighting resume shows that he has 32 wins that consist of five knockouts, 11 submissions, and 16 decisions. Nine of his 32 wins have resulted in a first round finish and 10 of his 14 losses have come by decision.

He has a striking accuracy of 47 percent and a takedown accuracy of 36 percent. He lands 3.56 significant strikes a minute while taking on 3.21. This is a solid ratio, but needs to create more distance between the two averages.

His defense against significant strikes is at 61 percent and a takedown defense at 59 percent. He also averages 2.05 takedowns and 0.59 submissions per 15 minutes of fight time.

Game Odds, Series Trends and Free Pick

The following moneyline from MyBookie reveals that Rafael Dos Anjos is a slight favorite to win this ranked showdown. Both stack up well on paper, indicating this will be a close fight.


  • Vicente Luque: +106

  • Rafael Dos Anjos: -135

  • *odds are subject to changes

Luque has some issues against fighters that fight on the ground, as evident in his recent losses. Anjos offers a healthy amount of takedowns per fight and won his last battle by submission. Look for the decision victory here.

Final Pick: Take Rafael Dos Anjos to Win at -135