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US Open ATP Betting Preview: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinner

September 4, 2023

Sixth-seed Jannik Sinner of Italy will face 12th-seed Alexander Zverev of Germany in the US Open fourth round on Monday. 

Having won his last three matches with the Italian, Alexander Zverev will be keen to claim another victory at the US Open. All in all, the German boasts a 3-1 head-to-head record against Jannik Sinner, including a 6-4, 6-4, 7-6 win in the US Open round of 16 two years ago. 

Sinner, on the other hand, won their first meeting (6-3, 6-3, 4-6, 6-3) at the French Open in 2020. 

The winner will face either Italian Matteo Arnaldi or top-seed Carlos Alcaraz of Spain in the US Open quarter-finals.  

Jannik Sinner Betting Preview (-165 at BetOnline)

As we stated in our 2023 US Open Betting Preview - Jannik Sinner shouldn't be overlooked! So far so good, the talented Italian has been doing very well in yet another Major competition. He arrived in New York City following a disappointing 6-4, 7-6 defeat to Serbia's Dusan Lajovic in his first match at the Cincinnati Masters exactly on his 22nd birthday (16th of August).  

However, Sinner revealed his full potential at the Canadian Open earlier in August. The Italian won his first Masters 1000 crown after some impressive victories over Matteo Berrettini, Gael Monfils, Tommy Paul and Alex de Minaur in what was his first appearance since the Wimbledon semi-finals in mid-July. 

Indeed, Sinner lost in straight-sets to Wimbledon favorite Novak Djokovic but it was his maiden Grand Slam semi-final and the Italian gains valuable experience.  

Sinner also played out some strong performances in the United States earlier this year. First, he reached the semi-finals in Indian Wells, where he lost to eventual champion Carlos Alcaraz. 

The Italian went even further at the Miami Masters where he beat Alcaraz on the same stage (SF), thus ending the Spaniard's hopes for a Sunshine Double. Yet, Sinner lost to Daniil Medvedev in the final in what was his second Miami Open final loss after his defeat to Hubert Hurkacz two years ago.  

Jannik Sinner opened his US Open campaign with a comfortable 6-3, 6-1, 6-1 win over Yannick Hanfmann of Germany in the first round. He continued with a 6-4, 6-2, 6-4 win over fellow Italian Lorenzo Sonego in the second round before his third-round tie with Stanislas Wawrinka. 

The 22-years-old continued his fine form on hard-courts this summer with a 6-3, 2-6, 6-4, 6-2 win over the Swiss veteran in the US Open third round. It was his foruth straight victory over the 2016 champion and the Italian now hopes to avoid his own fourth consecutive defeat against Zverev.  

The Italian reached last year's quarter-finals as he lost a thrilling five-setter to eventual champion Carlos Alcaraz. Twelve months later, Sinner looks more mature and will be eager for another chance with a potential quarter-final clash against Alcaraz on the corner (only if both favorites win their last-16 matches, of course). 

Alexander Zverev Betting Preview (+145 at BetOnline) 

Even though he is yet to claim a Grand Slam title, Zverev reached his peak (so far) and a career-high ranking of world No. 2 right after his ankle injury during last year's French Open. 

Having endured a long injury layoff in the second half of last season, Alexander Zverev is steadily regaining his physical and mental shape. The top-ranked German reached this year's French Open semifinals - for a third consecutive season - and now fights to make it to his second Major final.  

Zverev reached his maiden Grand Slam final at the US Open three years ago. The German, who won the opening two sets, served for the title but ultimately lost the historic match after a fifth set tie-break to Dominic Thiem of Austria. 

Still, Zverev became the youngest male finalist at a Major championship since Novak Djokovic at the 2010 US Open. Three years later, the 26-years-old German has also won his first title since he triumphed at the ATP Finals in 2021, with Zverev winning the Hamburg European Open (on clay courts in his hometown) in July, on the eve of his trip to North America. 

Alexander Zverev failed to impress at the Canadian Open (losing 6-1, 6-2 to Alejandro Davidovich Fokina of Spain in the second round), but he performed much better in Cincinnati where the German was involved in a highly competitive semi-final clash (losing 7-6, 7-5 though) against the eventual champion Novak Djokovic. 

The 12th seed German kicked-off his US Open campaign with a 6-4, 6-4, 6-4 first round win over an in-form Aleksandar Vukic of Australia, followed by a 7-6, 3-6, 6-4, 6-3 victory in the all-German tie against Daniel Altmaier in the second round.  

In the third round, Sascha Zverev claimed his sixth straight win over Bulgarian number one Grigor Dimitrov in the US Open third round. Even though it wasn't easy as in their most recent meetings, Zverev eventually wrapped up a 6-7, 7-6, 6-1, 6-1 victory over Dimitrov and should be even more confident that he can also extend his winning streak against Sinner. 

Spooky Express Betting Prediction  

Having reached the Wimbledon semi-finals this summer, Sinner's progress continues. On the back of his first Masters 1000 triumph, the Italian is a -165 favorite over the 2020 US Open runner-up Alexander Zverev with a quarterfinal spot on the line. 

Both Sinner and Zverev look to be in solid form through the first week of the US Open and neither has really faced much jeopardy at Flushing Meadows just yet. 

Spooky Express Free Play: Over 39½ Games -105 at BetOnline for 6/10 Units